Couponing Dynamics and the Two-Sided Network
April 27th, 2007Couponing is a two-sided network; you must have both the coupon content and distribution to consumers in order to make it work. A collection of coupons with no distribution is useless and at the same time distribution to consumers without coupons is useless. But, you put the two together and you have a powerful combination.
Very simply put, two-sided networks suffer from the curse of inertia. You can’t address one-side at a time, you have both sides or you have jack-squat. However, once you address both sides, the “fly-wheel” starts turning and it feeds upon itself. Once that fly-wheel is turning you benefit from the network effect or the Law of Increasing Returns.
Some examples of two-sided networks are eBay (buyers/sellers), Windows (applications/users) and Linkshare (advertisers/publishers). As you can see, once you overcome the inertia, both sides start feeding upon each other. For example the more buyers eBay gets, the more valuable it is to sellers. The more sellers, the more valuable it is to buyers…repeat ad infinitum.
The best way to crack the two-sided network is to piggyback on another medium that can help you solve at least one if not both sides of the network. George Valassis understood this when in 1972 he piggybacked his coupons on newspaper distribution. In that one year, total
How can online coupons overcome inertia and achieve the critical mass, or the tipping point necessary to initiate the network effect. Online coupons need to piggyback on partners that can help drive one side or both. You cannot simply address a single side, but you can line up partnerships that can drive one side, as long as you have complementary partnerships driving the other side. In short, online couponing is a partnership game, and those companies trying to do it alone are doomed to fail.
My brother used to work at Overture (later acquired by Yahoo! for $1.63B, now powering their search marketing). He described the lean years at Overture when they were unable to align both sides of the network rendering them essentially valueless. Then they found a believer at Yahoo who agreed to publish their ads. The rest was history. Online coupons will follow this same path, they will limp along until they gain a critical mass of partnerships, at which point they will explode upon the Internet, just as search engine marketing has done before it.
